Saturday, October 16, 2010

Rosenblum trump compound

[Andy]  It's my turn to blog on Franco's favorite subject.  The following is what will most likely be the most famous hand from the Rosenblum final.  (It was described in the NY Times today also, although I didn't see it online there yet.)

♠ A 6 3
K J 
A K 4 2
♣ K 4 3 2
♠ Q J 4 2♠ 10 9 7 5
8 3Q 9 2
Q 8 7 6 5♦ 10 3
♣ 9 8♣ Q J 10 6
♠ K 8
A 10 7 6 5 4
J 9
♣ A 7 5

Zia got to 6 and received the ♠Q lead.  He found an elegant line, cashing his winners and taking 3 ruffs in his hand, then exiting with his last club.  In the end position he could claim regardless of the location of the Q.

Moss and Gitelman did one better, though, arriving in 7.  I'm not sure what happened, unless Gitelman intentionally bid a grand on a blackwood auction in hopes that the opening lead would reveal the trump Q.  (This is a somewhat well-known trick, but definitely pretty gutsy in the last quarter of a world championship final that you are winning!)  Anyway, Rodwell did lead a trump, and Moss won the trump A, played trump to K, spade to K, drew the last trump, ruffed the third round of diamonds, played the second to last trump, unblocked clubs, and played the last trump to achieve a double squeeze (spades being the double threat suit).

That was very well done.  Let's take a look at the hand from a theoretical point of view.

With a reasonable number of entries, compound squeeze principles suggest that the contract should be makeable if one positional threat can be found.  It seems natural to hope that suit is diamonds, since declarer can isolate it, and the club threat needs to be in his hand.  Moss' line probably would not have worked had Rodwell held something like ♠J x x  x x  Q x x x x ♣ Q 10 x.  Rodwell would probably unguard spades and keep clubs in that layout, and Moss would not have the timing to unblock the ♠A to achieve a double squeeze around clubs.  (This is necessary since the extra spade winner gives Rodwell an idle card.)

So to achieve full compound generality, declarer appears to need to preserve the ♠K in his hand.  Perhaps declarer could take the diamond ruff before drawing the last trump.  This would leave two entries in both black suits and guarantee a working compound position as long as Rodwell held at least 4 diamonds.  Of course, it might lose if diamonds were 6-1 and RHO could ruff.  It might also lose if LHO overruffs in a position where there was just a minor suit squeeze against RHO the whole time.

An intriguing variant is to start the way Moss did, but play the 4th trump before taking the diamond ruff.  I think that also guarantees the ability to make the contract any time LHO has at least 4 diamonds.  The triple squeeze part of the compound is achieved at that point, since there is a ruff-out threat in diamonds.  Then, if LHO unguards spades at that point and declarer can read it, he can unblock the ♠A before taking the diamond ruff.  If LHO guards spades then the play continues as it actually did at the table.  Cool! Read more!

Sunday, October 3, 2010

Another Compound

Dlr E
Vul NS
IMPs

♠ A 8 7 3
A Q 10 2
K 7 6 5
♣ 6
♠ K 2
K J 8 7
A J
♣ A K Q 10 4

West
North
East
South
3♣ 3NT
5♣ 6♣ Pass 7NT
All Pass

♣3 led. RHO puts up the Jack. How do you play?

FWIW, RHO is an honest customer, LHO not so much. You can confirm this by playing another club.

My line and further analysis is below.



I tested one more club and LHO pitched ♠4 (I pitched ♠3 from dummy). Then 4 rounds of hearts, LHO following up the line, while RHO pitched ♣7, ♠5, then 4.

There's definitely a squeeze available at this point, but I still haven't committed to which one to play for. ♠K drew the Jack from RHO and 6 from LHO. Now I can afford another club before making up my mind: LHO pitched ♠9 while RHO followed with the 5. This is the ending:


 
♠ A 8
K 7 6
♠ 2
A J
♣ 10 4


RHO is down to a club stopper and 3 pointed cards. If he started with 4 spades (and so still has that suit stopped), LHO made a very tricky pitch from 3=4=5=1 at trick 2 (and again on the last trick). Not to mention that the aggressive 3♣ opening seems much more likely with 4 diamonds than 4 spades. So, I played a spade to the Ace, and when RHO showed out I claimed: he must pitch his diamond guard here, then A, ♣10 squeezes LHO in diamonds and spades.

If I had thought that RHO guarded spades but not diamonds, then K, A, ♣10 would effect a similar squeeze.

Technically this was just a double squeeze (LHO guards spades, RHO guards clubs, both guard diamonds), but if RHO had started 3=1=3=6 it would have been a true compound (a Type-R Unrestricted).

How about the defense?

East is going to need to make 2 pitches on the hearts, and then declarer is going to need to guess which of the pointed suits East still guards. If, as on the actual hand, East pitches one from each suit, he'd better not have started 3=3 or declarer cannot go wrong. On the other hand, even though East has had to make 2 pitches, always pitching one from each reveals nothing about which suit started longer. If West also pitches one from each suit (he has to make 2 pitches on clubs), declarer faces a straight guess (ignoring the auction), even though this is (or at least looks like) an unrestricted compound.

In compensation, if East did start 3=3, he must pitch 2 from a single suit, and declarer will almost always go right by playing that suit to now be unguarded. When East is actually pitching 2 from a 5 card suit (which he should do instead of 1 from each), declarer should normally go wrong (3-3 vs 5-1 is 25:3 a priori, though knowing an opponent's preempting style might be enough to overcome that).

I guess when the layout is such that it's not a true compound, just a double, that the position-tightening does not actually put anyone under pressure and so it makes sense that proper discarding reveals virtually nothing. There's always a double squeeze present, but it's more or less a toss up as to which to play for if both defenders are perfect. In contrast, when it is a true compound, East is squeezed twice and his discards are much more revealing, making it around 80% that declarer gets it right even against perfect defenders.

Obviously in practice a psuedo-squeeze is much more likely than this layout and West should be minimizing the chance of screwing that up.

Some minor technical points:

1. I should not have played a club at trick 2. RHO might not appreciate what is going on and if he pitches 2 clubs I'm spared any guess.

2. If I do play a club, I might as well pitch a heart. LHO might have trouble pitching from a 4 card holding in diamonds or spades. Also, I might as well play a 3rd (but not a 4th!). This gets more information from LHO early, without really helping RHO much if at all.

3. When crossing back to hand, I should probably use A in case the Q has been bared.

Finally, the J was not strictly necessary, but it does help slightly in constraining the defense. Earlier I suggested that LHO pitching a spade early (and another later) from 3=4=5=1 would be tricky. This follows the general "principle" (technically this principle is false, but that's another post) of not waiting to the last possible moment to release a guard if you're squeeze. Since West is going to be squeezed in diamonds and spades later in the hand, if he anticipates this he has a good chance of leading declarer astray by pitching from his shorter suit early. However, thanks to the J, he actually can't get away with pitching 2 diamonds (he started with Qxx). At double dummy the clash menace is irrelevant, but at single dummy it puts additional constraints on the defense and may make reading the position slightly easier.




The BBO record is here.

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Thursday, September 23, 2010

Finesse played as a suicide compound

♠ A 10 3
A 4 2
Q 7 6 2
♣ A 9 8
♠ Q 9 2♠ J 7 5 4
6 5J 10 9 8
A K J 10 58 3
♣ Q 10 2♣ J 5 3
♠ K 8 6
K Q 7 3
9 4
♣ K 7 6 4

West
North
East
South
1 1NT Pass 2♣
Pass 2 Pass 3NT
All Pass

J led. I ran this to my ace and crossed to dummy with another heart to lead a diamond. The Q was allowed to hold, then I exited a diamond. When West ran diamonds, East had to pitch 2 more black cards in this ending:

♠ A 10 3
♣ A 9 8
♠ Q 9 2♠ ? ? ?
10 9
♣ Q 10 2♣ ? ? ?
♠ K 8
Q 7
♣ K 7

East must unguard a black suit. Win West's continuation with a king in dummy, then cross in the suit East doesn't guard and back to dummy's remaining K. One of these tricks will squeeze East again in the other black suit and hearts, then Q will squeeze West in the black suits.

As shown, West could defeat this by exiting without cashing all diamonds. In practice, though, I held ♠J (you did notice the very light 1NT overcall, right?) and could always fall back on that finesse.

The BBO record is here.

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Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Which squeeze?

Matchpoints

♠ 3
Q J 4 3
A Q J 4
♣ K 9 3 2
♠ A K Q 10 6 4
K 5
K 5 2
♣ A 7

You're declaring 3N against a diamond lead from a defender very fond of passive leads. You win, play a heart to the K and Ace, and a club comes back. How do you play for 12 tricks? Let's assume that the defense isn't very deep; the inferences from not ducking HA or not leading a 2nd heart are too complex.

Discussion below...




You might as well run diamonds and come down to:

♠ 3
Q J 4
♣ K 9 3
♠ A K Q 10 6
5
♣ 7

No chances have been eliminated by doing this. From here, I'm pretty sure nothing is given up by cashing hearts, either (since only one player can guard that suit). After that, there's a fork, though:

[All lines work when the spades split or SJ falls, both have some vig for 5-2 clubs and a club-something squeeze]

a) test spades, then hope for a double squeeze around clubs. Requires long heart on left, long spade on right.

b) cash CA, then hope for spades and hearts in the same hand.

[If someone shows out on hearts, play RHO for spade length (likely if he's short in hearts, necessary if he's long) and choose accordingly]

How do you compare majors divided in a specific way vs majors together but in either hand? See Rubens's latest book. Perhaps I'll come back later and work it out in detail, but I'm pretty sure line b comes out slightly ahead.

For example, assume both red suits are 3-3. Then spades, if they don't split, are very likely to be 4-2. That would make it 5:3 that the odd heart is in the other hand, but that only works when it's hearts-left-spades-right-not-vice-versa, which cuts the odds to 2.5:3. But, it gets a bit closer after accounting for 5-1 spades.


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Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Test Your Play Again -- solution

I posted this recently:

Matchpoints, favorable.

♠ 3 2
Q 9 4 3
K
♣ K Q 10 9 3 2
♠ A Q J 6 4
J
A 9 5 2
♣ A 8 7

This is slightly modified from a hand I played on Saturday. LHO opened 1♠, RHO passes, and you wind up in 3N. ♠10 led, RHO shows out, pitching a diamond. When you play a club to the king, everyone follows.

How do you play?

Seems like LHO must have all the major suit honors. So you could try running all your minor suit winners to come down to a 4 card ending, then exit a heart to lose 2 hearts but score 2 spades at the end, for 11 tricks total.

However, even if LHO has both heart honors, the defense might be able to defeat this plan. How do you counter?

Answer below...



The problem is that LHO can pitch a heart winner in order to hold a diamond link to partner, who will have some good diamonds left. So, after ♣K (in case they're 4-0), unblock
K and play a heart. LHO can't cash 2 hearts or your 11th trick is established, but the position becomes a trick tighter. In the 3 card ending LHO must keep 2 spades and the other heart winner, and now it will be safe to throw him in.

In practice, one of my small diamonds was a heart. I played this way and successfully executed the endplay, but I could have almost as well just established a heart trick.

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Sunday, August 15, 2010

Test Your Play Again

Matchpoints, favorable

♠ 3 2
Q 9 4 3
K
♣ K Q 10 9 3 2
♠ A Q J 6 4
J
A 9 5 2
♣ A 8 7

This is slightly modified from a hand I played on Saturday. LHO opened 1♠, RHO passes, and you wind up in 3N. ♠10 led, RHO shows out, pitching a diamond. When you play a club to the king, everyone follows.

How do you play?



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Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Test Your Play -- solution

♠ A J 7 4 3 2
Q
A 10 2
♣ J 4 2
♠ 10
A K 10 6 4 2
K Q 9 5
♣ 10 7

West
North
East
South
1
Pass 1♠ Pass 2
Pass 3♣ Dbl 3
Pass 4 All Pass

Let's say the defense starts 3 rounds of clubs as you ruff (LHO started with Axx; for purposes of this problem you can assume RHO has 5 clubs) and all follow to the Q. Now what?

As discussed yesterday, I crossed back with a low diamond to play 2 more trumps, RHO pitching a club on the 3rd round. That left this ending:

♠ A J 7 4
A 10
♠ 10
10 6
Q 9 5

It seems like you basically have to pick up diamonds, and that playing for 3-3 or Jx is best, but I figured that I didn't have to do that right away. So, I tried A (both follow, no J), ♠A and ruffing a spade. RHO followed with the king and the eight. Seems awfully likely that he has KQ87, so I exited my last trump, pitching the blocking 10 and endplaying LHO.

The main hint is "the blocking 10". Say I had unblocked that card at trick 5, leaving a very slightly different end position:

♠ A J 7 4
A 2
♠ 10
10 6
Q 9 5

Now you have a much better option: ♠A, spade ruff, A, spade ruff.

Case 1: LHO follows to 3 spades, and must be 3=4=3=3, so cash your diamond and concede trick 13.

Case 2: LHO only has 2 spades. Now she has 2 losing options: overruff and lead a diamond into your tenace, or pitch a diamond, allowing you to complete your elopement.

But, I think you can do better still. See below.



Basically, if RHO shows up with heart length, you'll probably regret unblocking 10. So, I think the best line is to not touch diamonds, but cross back to hand with a spade ruff. Now if LHO shows up with heart length, play along similar lines. If RHO shows up with heart length, then if he had a stiff spade play for 3-3 diamonds. If not, play K and hook 10. If RHO started with 2425 with both red jacks, you'll go down.

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Monday, August 2, 2010

Test Your Play

♠ A J 7 4 3 2
Q
A 10 2
♣ J 4 2
♠ 10
A K 10 6 4 2
K Q 9 5
♣ 10 7

West
North
East
South
1
Pass 1♠ Pass 2
Pass 3♣ Dbl 3
Pass 4 All Pass

Let's say the defense starts 3 rounds of clubs as you ruff (LHO started with Axx; for purposes of this problem you can assume RHO has 5 clubs) and all follow to the Q. Now what?

I think there's a great line, including at least one very pretty variant. A sort of hint is below the fold: the inferior line I actually took.




I crossed back with a low diamond to play 2 more trumps, RHO pitching a club on the 3rd round. That left this ending:

♠ A J 7 4
A 10
♠ 10
10 6
Q 9 5

It seems like you basically have to pick up diamonds, and that playing for 3-3 or Jx is best, but I figured that I didn't have to do that right away. So, I tried A (both follow, no J), ♠A and ruffing a spade. RHO followed with the king and the eight. Seems awfully likely that he has KQ87, so I exited my last trump, pitching the blocking 10 and endplaying LHO.

More on Tuesday.

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Sunday, July 25, 2010

All the compound squeezes

I've spent a lot of time enumerating and trying to name various squeezes. Here's a quick summary of all the compound squeezes (pure, without trumps), just based on naming conventions. I think a name should contain enough information to specify the whole squeeze. Concise names should do little more, but as squeezes get more hairy it can be nice to have some redundancy. Here, I'm trying to be concise. This might be (i.e. probably is) only useful to me.

1. There are type-R (2 double threats opposite a lone basic menace), type-L (1 double threat opposite a basic menace and an adjacent double threat), and Alternate Threat (like type-L, except the adjacent double threat suit also has an alternate threat in the other hand). In both cases, one hand has only one menace, designated the "lone" menace.

2. Type-R and Type-L can be restricted or unrestricted. Unrestricted basically means that the lone menace is recessed -- this makes room for idle cards opposite so you can run the free suit.

3. The standard "basic" menace (i.e. guarded by one opponent who is under the menace) is just a 1 card menace. If an entry is required, it might become "2-card", i.e. Ax/x. Recessing is often required to make room in the other hand, this can make a 1-card a 2-card-non-communicating (2CNC, Ax/-), or a 2-card a "recessed" (AKx/x). If an entry is required to the opposite hand, it can become "blocked" (xx/A), or "twin-entry" (Axx/Kx).

4. The standard double menace in a pure compound is a 2-card (Ax/x). This can be recessed to make room opposite, or twin-entry to add an entry opposite. A 3-card might also be necessary (AKx/xx, where both entries are important -- contrast with "recessed"). In alternate-threat squeezes, either a 2C or a 3C might need an alternate threat: 2-card-alt (Ax/xx) or 3-card-alt (AKx/xxx).

There are 2 double menaces in a compound squeeze. In a type-L, one is "adjacent" to the basic menace and the other is "opposite". In a type-R, both are opposite. Often one of them needs some extra feature, but it doesn't matter which has it (since it's symmetrical).

5. The free suit is normally 2 winners with the lone menace. In an unrestricted squeeze, they both might be opposite; these positions are called "adjoints". Sometimes, a late entry is used in the free suit -- these have "balanced" free suits, such as AK/xx (Ax/Kx also fine). Sometimes the penultimate free winner needs to be in the opposite hand, a "blocked free suit" (though again Ax/Kx would work fine).

In my naming convention, the type (R/L/alternate) describes the basic layout of the menaces and minimum necessary (but not sufficient) entries (see row I, II, and II-C). "Unrestricted" says something about the lone menace: that it has an extra winner without (necessarily) a corresponding link opposite. But, each basic family potentially has some additional entry requirements that are satisfied by upgrading one or more standard menaces. The type of upgrade and the upgraded menace(s) constitutes the rest of the name.   Often specifying which menace is upgraded is redundant, but still helpful.

In hand diagrams, spades is always basic and in North (guarded only in West), clubs is always free, and the red suits are always double menaces, guarded by both opponents (diamonds is always opposite, in South; hearts might be in either hand). An 'o' designates an idle card.

In the outline, every line using arabic numerals corresponds to a distinct compound, where as long as East can't stop spades, declarer can take the rest (might also require that the hand with CA is on lead).

I. Type-R (implies at least x/x/x/AK opposite -/Ax/Ax/o)

    A.  Unrestricted (implies spades is 2CNC or recessed: Ax/- or AKx/x)
  • requires a reentry to the basic hand, could be in basic suit (B) or one of the double menaces opposite (O). Free suit (F) not possible since it's cashed first.
          1.  Type-R Unrestricted Recessed basic
               AKx/x/x/AK opp x/Ax/Ax/oo

          2.  Type-R Unrestricted Twin-entry opposite
               Ax/Kx/x/AK opp -/Axx/Ax/oo
  • both of the above could be "adjoint", with the free winners in the other hand.
  • If the free suit is blocked, play is harder but nothing extra needed.
   B. Restricted
  • requires a reentry to the basic hand, could be in B, O, or F:
          3.  Type-R Restricted Two-card basic
               Ax/x/x/AK opp x/Ax/Ax/o

          4.  Type-R Restricted Twin-entry opposite
               x/Kx/x/AK opp -/Axx/Ax/o

          5.  Type-R Restricted Balance free suit (implies 2CNC basic)
               Ax/x/x/AK opp -/Ax/Ax/xx

II. Type-L (implies at least x/Ax/x/o opposite -/x/Ax/AK)

   A. Unrestricted (implies diamonds is recessed, AKx/x)

          6. Type-L Unrestricted (already fully specified)
              x/Ax/x/oo opp -/x/AKx/AK
  • has an adjoint with free winners in the other hand.
  • If the free suit is blocked, requires a reentry to the long free suit winner (3 possibilities if you include xx/AKQx as a possible double menace.)
   B. Restricted (implies diamonds is *not* recessed)
  • Requires a Spade/Heart reentry to the free suit after cashing HA, plus a late Spade/Diamond entry to give force to the basic menace (and now entry-less heart menace). All 4 combos ([S|H]-[S|D]) work:
          RFL squeezes:
          7. Type-L Restricted Twin-entry basic (both entries in spades)
              Axx/Ax/x/o opp Kx/x/Ax/AK

          8. Type-L Restricted Two-card basic, Twin entry adjacent
              Ax/Axx/x/o opp x/Kx/Ax/AK

          B1-Twin-entry squeezes:
          9.  Type-L Restricted Blocked basic, Twin entry opposite
               xx/Ax/Kx/o opp A/x/Axx/AK

         10. Type-L Restricted Twin entries adjacent and opposite
               x/Axx/Kx/o opp -/Kx/Axx/AK

   C. Alternate threat (implies at least Ax/Ax/x/o opp -/xx/Ax/AK)
  • SA is in the way when West unguards diamonds, need an entry to clear it while still retaining a heart winner (the SA itself is required to make room for the alternate threat). This entry can be in any suit (but if in the free suit, requires a reentry to South):
          11. Type-L Alternate Recessed basic
                AKx/Ax/x/o opp x/xx/Ax/AK

          12. Type-L Alternate 3-card-alt adjacent
                Ax/AKx/x/o opp -/xxx/Ax/AK

          13. Type-L Alternate Twin-entry opposite
                Ax/Ax/Kx/o opp -/xx/Axx/AK

          14. Type-L Alternate 3-card opp w/blocked free suit
                Ax/Ax/xx/A opp -/xx/AKx/KQ
  • In 14, the free suit blockage is essential.  In 11-13, there are some blocked free suit variants not shown.

To recap:

[Note that in restricted squeezes, the common pattern is to cash one free winner, potentially need to do some stuff ending in the other hand, and then need a reentry to the free suit. I strive to only use "reentry" to refer to getting back to the free suit.]

Type-R unrestricted needs a reentry: basic (1) or opposite (2). Adjoints possible.
Type-R restricted needs a reentry: basic (3), opposite (4), or free (5).
Type-L unrestricted needs nothing more (6). Adjoint possible.
Type-L restricted can be an RFL needing a spade (L) entry plus a reentry in spades (7) or hearts (8); or it can have a twin-entry opposite + reentry in spades (9) or hearts (10).
Type-L alternate-threat (implicitly restricted) can have an entry to the basic hand in any suit: 11-14.

I believe that's all of the pure compounds: 14 distinct positions, plus 3 adjoints (plus maybe 2 or 3 variants on a type-L unrestricted w/blocked free suit, and some alternate threat blocked free suit variants).  In most cases, the free suit being blocked is not a big deal, I don't treat those as separate positions.

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Thursday, July 22, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 26

Board 26
Dlr E
Vul Both

♠ A 4 3 2
J 9 7
Q 10 2
♣ A 8 2
♠ Q 10 6♠ K J 8
6 5 4 3A K Q 2
K 9 4A J 5 3
♣ Q J 7♣ 6 5
♠ 9 7 5
10 8
8 7 6
♣ K 10 9 4 3


Franco
North
Andy
South
1Pass
1NTPass3NTAll Pass

I suppressed my heart suit and it worked out great.  North, understandably, did not lead a club and I was able to score 10 tricks for 13/17.  +620 was 7.5/17.  2 pairs managed +650. 

Of course, give North a natural club lead and things might have gone differently.






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Wednesday, July 21, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 25

This is the deal that could have wound up haunting me for the rest of my life.  I certainly thought we were in contention at this point (I had underappreciated some of our earlier bad results) and faced this annoying problem:


Board 25
Dlr N
Vul E-W

♠ K Q 5♠ J 10 6 4
A K 6 3 28
10 9A K J 7 6 4
♣ J 8 3♣ A 5



Franco
North
Andy
South
Pass11
3NTAll Pass

Lead:  ♣K -- a "power" lead.

How do you play?



The "normal" option seems to be win the 1st or 2nd club, maybe cash a diamond (you can pick up stiff Q or stiff 8, take your pick), then cross in hearts, cash your other heart winner lest it be stranded, and take a diamond hook. If diamonds come in, you have 9 tricks. If not, you're down several, probably 5.

Given the overcall and the power club lead, I decided to cash 2 diamonds. Against the previous line, this seems to gain whenever the Q is offside (I go down many fewer if it's 3rd, and make otherwise), break even if it's onside doubleton, and only loses when the Q is onside 3rd. Even without the overcall, this still seems like the right line to me.  

In fact, everyone followed low to both diamonds and I led a spade, RHO hopped Ace and led clubs. Clubs were 4-4 so I wasn't down yet. North, cruelly, teased me by playing a spade back. Now I thought I had a red-suit squeeze, but alas not and I was down 1.

This was worth 3.5 instead of 8.5 for making 3.  The full deal:


♠ 9 8 7 3
J 5
Q 5 2
♣ K Q 10 6
♠ K Q 5♠ J 10 6 4
A K 6 3 28
10 9A K J 7 6 4
♣ J 8 3♣ A 5
♠ A 2
Q 10 9 7 4
8 3
♣ 9 7 4 2
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 24

Board 24
Dlr W
Vul None

[Andy] You pick up:
♠K 8 7 5 3 2 9 3 A 8 ♣ 10 5 3

and hear partner open a 15-17 1NT. In addition to the standard transfer auctions, you also have the option of bidding 2♣-2red-2♠, which shows a light invitation based on distributional values rather than HCP. (But only promising 5 spades, so partner will not act with less than 3-card support.)

a) What do you do?
b) What do you expect the field action on this hand to be?



Possible actions on this hand include anything from signing off to just leaping to game. At IMPs, I think I would choose the stayman followed by 2♠ option. You stop at the 2 level when not bidding game, and likely get to game the times that it is right. I didn't think this was the right choice at matchpoints though, because there is so much chance that siding the contract incorrectly could cost a trick (on opening lead or otherwise).

So I knew I had to pick a transfer sequence. On general principle I hate light invite actions at matchpoints, as we could easily go down in 3♠. And that might be a complete disaster if partner had an atypical 1NT opening. Meanwhile, it didn't seem like game was likely to be great, so I took the low road and passed 2♠.

This choice was heavily punished as the full hand was:


♠ Q
K 10 8 6
Q J 10 9
♣ A J 9 7
♠ A J 10♠ K 8 7 5 3 2
A Q J9 3
7 6 3 2A 8
♣ K Q 6♣ 10 5 3
♠ 9 6 4
7 5 4 2
K 5 4
♣ 8 4 2




Franco
North
Andy
South
1NTPass2Pass
2♠All Pass

Partner not only had a HCP maximum, but also perfectly fitting cards and great trumps. Game is an extremely good contract. Even after the diamond lead and a losing heart finesse, 10 tricks still rolled in when the trump Q appeared.

We got 4.5 but had 11 available for bidding the game.

Afterwards, someone suggested that the field would all invite with this hand and if I knew I was winning the event at this point I should have been tempted to just try to duplicate the field action. In real life, I had no idea that I was winning -- indeed, when the event was over I figured we were probably third or something. Plus, I'm a little dubious of the argument. Enough of the field plays 14-16 NTs that duplicating their result would be impossible. (If partner has 14-16, they open 1NT and my hand passes; if partner has 17, they open a strong club or whatever and get to game. The range times out the worst for you when it centers around the borderline invite.)

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Monday, July 19, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 23

Board 23
Dlr S
Vul Both

♠ A 8 7 5
6 3 2
K 8 3 2
♣ 8 5
♠ Q J 2♠ 4
K Q 10 7 4A J 8
6 410 9 7
♣ K J 7♣ Q 10 6 4 3 2
♠ K 10 9 6 3
9 5
A Q J 5
♣ A 9


Franco
North
Andy
South
1♠
Pass3♠Pass4♠
All Pass

This was nearly a disaster.  3♠ was mixed and for some reason South brought it in.

I led the K and then continued a suit-preference 4, when a count 10 would have been better.  Understandably, partner won and played a 3rd.  This allowed declarer to eliminate the hand and throw me in with the 3rd round of trumps to give up a ruff-sluff or lead away from my KJx in clubs.  I felt sick and led a club, but partner was nice enough to hold the ♣Q so down 1. 

+100 was worth 13/17.



Read more!

Sunday, July 18, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 22

Board 22
Dlr E
Vul E-W

♠ J 7 3 2
Q J 9
Q 3
♣ 8 7 6 2
♠ 5♠ A K Q 8 4
A K 10 8 7 6 3 24
A JK 7
♣ K 10♣ A Q 5 4 3
♠ 10 9 6
5
10 9 8 6 5 4 2
♣ J 9


Franco
North
Andy
South
1♠3♦
3♥ 4♦PassPass
6♥All Pass

[Andy] A correction to 6NT would have been worth 4.5 matchpoints on top of our dead average 8.5. At the table, I just followed the principle of not moving over big leaps to slam. Partner might have had a singleton ♦A (or even a void) with one slow heart loser and no entry. In retrospect though I probably should have taken my chances with 6NT, as the odds would seem to favor it.

Multiple pairs got to 7NT on this hand. It can be made, but only on an unrealistic double dummy basis.


Read more!

Saturday, July 17, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 21

Board 21
Dlr N
Vul N-S

♠ A 10 4
K Q 8 5
J 10 9
♣ J 10 9
♠ Q 6 5♠ 7 2
J 10 29 6
K 5 3A Q 8 7
♣ K 7 4 3♣ A Q 6 5 2
♠ K J 9 8 3
A 7 4 3
6 4 2
♣ 8


Franco
North
Andy
South
Pass1♣Pass
1NTAll Pass

I think they successfully got off to a heart lead, but after taking their 4 hearts shifted to a minor and I had 9 tricks.

+150 was worth 13/17.


Read more!

Friday, July 16, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 20

Board 20
Dlr W
Vul Both

♠ A 10 5
J 10 9 6 5 3
10
♣ 10 8 3
♠ Q 9 7 6♠ K 8
7K Q 4 2
K 7 6 4A J 8 3 2
♣ K Q 5 4♣ A 9
♠ J 4 3 2
A 8
Q 9 5
♣ J 7 6 2


Franco
North
Andy
South
PassPass1Pass
1♠Pass2NTPass
3♣Pass3Pass
3NTPass4Pass
4♠Pass4NTAll Pass

[Andy] I decided to treat my hand as balanced, and evaluated it to a 2NT rebid. 3♣ forced 3, then 3NT showed a mild slam invite with 4 diamonds. I knew I had a high card minimum, but at first glance it was hard to imagine a better hand than 5-card diamonds with extra unanticipated shape, so I bid 4 RKC. The 4♠ response showed one keycard. At that point, I was somewhat worried that 4NT would be a queen ask, but I was unwilling to accept another disastrous 5 of a minor contract, so I just bid 4NT and hoped. Fortunately, Franco remembered our agreement more clearly than I did, which does state that in this auction 4NT is to play. (Had clubs been trumps it would have been the Q ask.)

Ironically, at IMPs I would have bid 5 to try to avoid a slam disaster, but on the actual hand, 5 had no play.

4NT was also quite a precarious contract. In retrospect, I should have gotten a bit deeper in the analysis and worked out to pass 3NT. Partner could have shown 5-card spades or 5-card diamonds, so his choice not to strongly implied 4-4. As a passed hand then his slam try was very likely to be based on short hearts, which isn't a great fit for my hand. There are many hands partner could have that would put slam around 50%, but in order to bid slam you'd like to believe that you will often have better play than that. There seems to be only one very specific hand that really makes slam extremely good: ♠AQxx x KQxx ♣ xxxx. That's just too specific to play for, plus partner might have opened that hand anyway.

If partner weren't a passed hand this evaluation would be a lot harder. I'm not sure, but I suspect that partner perhaps should not make a slam try with his actual hand if he weren't a passed hand. Slam might make, but without explicitly showing short hearts judging it properly without getting too high is difficult.

Anyway, there I was in 4NT, on a low club lead to the 10 and A. I played 8 to the A and a diamond back. When RHO pitched a low (discouraging) heart, I won the A and played a third diamond (RHO pitching another heart). I might have wanted to duck the second diamond to maintain communications, but I was desparate for an extra trick and I wanted to force LHO to play something.

LHO went into the tank and eventually played a spade. When this went around to the 10 and A, I fired a spade back and was soon claiming 10 tricks. +630 was worth 15/17.

LHO had a very difficult defensive problem -- his best play appears to be the ♣J, but that's far from obvious. Actually, RHO pretty much knows that spades and hearts are bad, so he wants to signal for a club. Maybe a discouraging heart followed by a suit preference heart is the best that could be hoped for.

Interestingly, even a low club beats me. I was certainly going to float that to the 9, because I needed the trick. Then though, while I appear to have 10 tricks, whichever major I play first establishes (at least one) extra trick for the defense before I can take my trick in the other major.

Read more!

Thursday, July 15, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 19

Board 19
Dlr S
Vul E-W

WestEast
♠ Q 9 5♠ J 10 7 4 3 2
Q 3 2A J
A Q 107 3
♣ J 9 8 6♣ A 5 4

Franco
North
Andy
South
1
Pass22♠Pass
3Pass3♠All Pass

[Andy] Take the declarer spot on this one. South leads two high spades, North pitching a low discouraging heart on the second. (You unblock the ♠Q for flexibility.) After long thought, South tables the 9. What now?

Read more!

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 18

Board 18
Dlr E
Vul N-S

♠ A 5 2
A 10 8
A K 10 8 6
♣ J 7
♠ K Q J 9 3♠ 10 6
K Q 4J 6 3 2
Q 25 4
♣ Q 6 5♣ A 9 8 4 2
♠ 8 7 4
9 7 5
J 9 7 3
♣ K 10 3


Franco
North
Andy
South
PassPass
1NTAll Pass

I normally wouldn't open 1NT with this spade suit, but it seemed right with all those queens.

They took some diamonds but did not start clubs in time to get an 8th trick. 

-50 was worth 7.5/17.


Read more!

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 17

Board 17
Dlr N
Vul None

♠ Q 9 8 7 6 5
4
K Q 8
♣ 8 3 2
♠ 10♠ K J 4 3 2
Q J 10 9 7A 8 3 2
9 7 2A 3
♣ K Q J 4♣ 6 5
♠ A
K 6 5
J 10 6 5 4
♣ A 10 9 7


Franco
North
Andy
South
2♠All Pass

And sometimes preempts work against you.  Our +50 was worth 4/17.  Perhaps I'm supposed to double.  Though it also looks like we might have been able to set this 2.

Read more!

Monday, July 12, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 16

Board 16
Dlr W
Vul E-W

♠ A 4
A 8 6
A Q 10 9 8 3
♣ 7 6
♠ K 10 3♠ Q J 9 8 7 2
K Q 5 4 210
J 56 2
♣ 10 5 2♣ A J 9 8
♠ 6 5
J 9 7 3
K 7 4
♣ K Q 4 3


Franco
North
Andy
South
Pass1♦2♠Dbl
3♠3NTAll Pass

Rusinow ♠J led, I overtook and played back the ten and it was not hard to hold declarer to his 8 top tricks.

+50 was worth 11.5/17. 


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Sunday, July 11, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 15

Board 15
Dlr S
Vul N-S

♠ 10 9
7 6
A K Q 9
♣ A J 10 7 2
♠ J 8 7 6 5 4♠ A 3
JA Q 10 4 3 2
10 6 3J 7 4
♣ Q 5 3♣ 6 4
♠ K Q 2
K 9 8 5
8 5 2
♣ K 9 8



Franco
North
Andy
South
Pass
2♠All Pass

Sometimes preempts work.  I was down 3, but -150 was worth 15.5/17.



Read more!

Saturday, July 10, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 14

[This feature is finally complete, the final 1/2 session is coming out over the next 13 days --FB]

Board 14
Dlr E
Vul None

♠ J 9 4
9
A 7 2
♣ K J 10 9 4 3
♠ A K 5♠ 10 7 6
K 4A Q J 8 7 5 2
J 10 9 8 6K 4
♣ Q 8 6♣ A
♠ Q 8 3 2
10 6 3
Q 5 3
♣ 7 5 2



Franco
North
Andy
South
1Pass
2NTPass4All Pass

2NT was natural & forcing, though next time I'd bid 2.  Possibly there was a slower path to 4 but I don't think so.

South led the 3rd/low ♠3.  Andy won.  He figured that leading diamonds could make 6, but only if the ace were ducked and both red suits split evenly.  So instead he set about avoiding a diamond guess.  He ran 6 trumps and saw 7 club pitches.  When he cashed ♣A, South pitched the ♠2.  Now he could cross to dummy, eliminate clubs with a ruff, and exit a spade in a position where everyone would be diamond tight.  Had North been able to win the spade, he'd still have a diamond guess, but in fact South had to win and lead one for him.

A well-earned 450, but only worth 8/17.

Brian Platnick related leading a diamond at trick 2.  North flew, but failed to continue spades so he made 6.


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Thursday, July 8, 2010

Play the card you're known to hold

This was from the USBC round of 16, and was reported in the daily bulletin.

If you like, cover up North-South and plan the play on the auction and lead and shift shown below.

Board 82
DlrE
Vul N/S


♠ A 8 7 6

7 6 4

Q 4

♣ 5 4 3 2
♠ 2
♠ K 5 4
9 8 3 2
A Q J 5
A 10 8 2
9 7 6 5
♣ A Q 9 7
♣ J 10

♠ Q J 10 9 3

K 10

K J 3

♣ K 8 6


Jonathan
North
Franco
South


11♠
Double3♠PassPass
DoublePass4All Pass

3♠ was a mixed raise

Opening lead: ♠J (Rusinow)

North won ♠A and switched to the Q. That was a mean play!

More below...




Let's say you duck this, South playing the 3. North continues 4 to South's Jack and you win. Now what?

I figured North probably had no Kings, so decided to hope South had roughly his actual hand: heart to the Ace, then 4 rounds of clubs to shake 2 diamonds. 

Of course, this play might have been harder to find if I didn't know who held the
J. If North could still hold the 3rd diamond, then it might just be right to draw trumps, even if the finesse loses there'll still be time to get all your tricks without losing a 2nd diamond trick.

I would still basically know South had all the Kings (if North is presumed to hold QJx in diamonds), though, and might choose to play
A and 2 or 3 rounds of clubs (depending when they cover) before committing to what to do. I think it's a virtual guess: The non-King red cards split 3-1 in one suit and 2-2 in the other and you need to know which way.  The 10 falling under the Ace might be suspicious, and a harder false card to find than K, so maybe I'd still get it right. 





Of course, the K could plausibly have been on the whole time, maybe this was too fancy.


The other table stopped short of game, so this won 6 IMPs.

Read more!

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

A tricky 3NT

This was from the USBC semi-finals, and was slightly mis-reported in the daily bulletin.

If you like, cover up North-South and plan the play on the auction and lead shown below.

Board 39
Dlr S
Vul Both


♠ K 10 9 8 4

J 5

Q 9 6 2

♣ Q 8
♠ A Q 6
♠ J 7 5 2
A 10 9 2
7
J 10
A K 8 7 4
♣ A 10 9 2
♣ J 7 6

♠ 3

K Q 8 6 4 3

5 3

♣ K 5 4 3


Franco
North
Jonathan
South



2
2NTPass3Pass
3NTAll Pass

3 was stayman, and 3NT denied 4 spades, but showed comfort with the heart stopper.

Opening lead: J

More below...




I won the 2nd heart, pitching a club from dummy. Apparently Rodwell in the same situation took a very long time and pitched a spade -- I think I should have recognized this as a situation worth more thought than I gave it.

Anyway, I tried the 10, which held, then the
J was covered. On the next diamond South was in some pain and shook a heart; I did too. I knocked out North's diamond (South & I both pitched hearts again), and he was endplayed. He chose a spade exit, I won ♠Q, A, and played another, endplaying him again. He played ♣Q, which I allowed to hold, and then claimed.

Note the cute club ending: stiff J in dummy along with 2 winners, opposite AT9. Normally in a position like this South holding Kxx can duck and still score a trick, but here there was no answer.

Rodwell apparently (after pitching a spade from dummy) also snuck the 10 through, then played another--covered and won. Now a club to the 9 and North was endplayed to concede a dummy entry to pick up clubs, cash the diamond, and later establish a spade.

It was reported that after discarding a club and running the 10 I "continued along the same line as Rodwell" which doesn't seem all that accurate.

I'm not really sure which line is better. Seems roughly that we both needed North to have the ♠K and at least one club honor. But, it's not clear Rodwell was going to make if North had both club honors, or South had the ♣8.  Against that, he still had chances if South has both clubs since he retained his slow heart stopper.

Meanwhile, at the other table in my match, declarer also discarded a club, played a spade to the
J, then tried ♣J: covered and won in hand. He next played a club to North's (Alex Kolesnik's) queen, and Alex tangled the hand by playing the Q back at him.

I don't know exactly what happened after that, it actually looks to me like he could survive by winning, playing a spade to the Q (Alex must duck), cashing his clubs, and setting up ♠J while still having a diamond entry.

Read more!

Monday, July 5, 2010

2010 US Team Trials

I recently partnered Jonathan Weinstein for the first time, and along with teammates Clement Jackson, Josh Sher, Alex Kolesnik, and Bob Etter we managed to go to the semifinals of the recent team trials in Chicago.

I should have some coverage soon. In the meantime, there's already some good stuff at Jonathan's blog.

Jonathan also stars in this NY Times column.

Read more!

Saturday, July 3, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 13

Board 13
Dlr N
Vul Both

♠ K 10 6 2
J 9 2
7 6 5 4 3
♣ J
♠ 7 5 3♠ A 8 4
10 6 3A 8 4
A K Q10
♣ K 6 3 2♣ A Q 8 7 5 4
♠ Q J 9
K Q 7 5
J 9 8 2
♣ 10 9


All Pass
Franco
North
Andy
South
Pass1♣Pass
2♦Pass3♦Pass
3NTPass4♣Pass
5♣

Aargh. 

2♦ was a 4 card raise, only forcing to 2NT. (In retrospect, maybe 2♥ showing an invitational 2NT bid would have been better -- Andy.)
3♦ is apparently a bid without a formal agreement, but we both thought it showed a singleton.  Stressing about this probably led to two poorly judged bids:

4♣:  not clear we have 4NT safety.
5♣: I was maybe worried that 4♦ had been naturalish, but really I have a natural 4NT available and should bid it.

11 easy tricks in either strain.  +600 was 3.5 instead of 10.5 for 660.

[Andy]  This kind of result is one of the hidden costs of conventions.  Even when you remember them correctly, you spend all your mental energy trying to figure out if you've remembered rather than on the critical judgment questions most relevant to the hand.

Another interesting anecdote on this hand: More and more players are playing transfer responses over 1♣, in which case the auction starts 1♣-1♠-2♣. Given the situation I feel like the best choice at that point might just be to invite with 3♣, but if you feel like you need to game force with the hand, you have an impossible problem. 2♦ at this point would typically show a natural suit. So it seems that several experts at this point found themselves bidding 2 of a major (whichever one for whatever reason), which is pretty ugly. At at least one table the auction got confused enough that the experts also managed to wander into 5♣ rather than 3NT.

Read more!

Friday, July 2, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 12

How would you play 4 by West?  Opening lead is a low spade lead to the Q and South's K


Board 12
Dlr W
Vul N-S
♠ 8 6 5 3
6 2
K 7
♣ Q 9 8 6 3
♠ A 2♠ Q 4
A 9 5 4 3Q J 10
9 6 4 2A Q 10 3
♣ K 7♣ A J 10 2
♠ K J 10 9 7
K 8 7
J 8 5
♣ 5 4



Franco
North
Andy
South
1Pass2♣Pass
2♦Pass3Pass
4All Pass


Again I'm not sure of the auction.  2♦ is actually catchall, usually without diamonds but sometimes a minimum with diamonds.


I chose to cash 2 clubs, then run 2 hearts, then try a club ruffing finesse.  In practice I wound up with a diamond loser and a black-suit loser.  An immediate club hook would have been more successful.

In fact, I like that play in retrospect.  If the club hook loses and they get a spade, maybe I can hook DQ and use 2 pitches to avoid any diamond losers. 

Of course, if I don't open partner will wind up declarer which is much better for us.

450 was 5.5/17.

Read more!

Thursday, July 1, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 11

Board 11
Dlr S
Vul None

♠ A K Q J 7
J 10 8 4
A 9
♣ 5 4
♠ 9 8 5♠ 10 4
K 9 7 6A 5
J 10 8K 5 3
♣ 10 6 2♣ A K Q 9 8 7
♠ 6 3 2
Q 3 2
Q 7 6 4 2
♣ J 3


Franco
North
Andy
South
Pass
Pass1NTAll Pass

[Andy]  North pushed the modern notrumpitis to the limit on this one.  My experience seems to have shown that when you hold a 6 card running suit over their 1NT, it often works out best to pass.  I used to think that was kind of gambling, i.e. hoping they bid 3NT and play there doubled, but really it seems to have a lot going for it beyond that.  Anyway, our current agreements constrain my choices to either pass or 3♣, so I preferred the former.

I ran my 4 club tricks, giving declarer an uncomfortable discard at the end.  As often happens, declarer chose to keep winners instead of sure stoppers, pitching a diamond and 3 hearts.  We then took 4 heart tricks for down 4.

+200 was a cold top.  Had declarer chosen to play safe for down two, that would have been worth half the board.


Read more!

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 10

Board 10
Dlr E
Vul Both
♠ Q J 10 8 5 4 3
Q J 8
8 6
♣ 10
♠ 2♠ K 7
7 6A 9 4 3 2
Q 5 3 210 9 7
♣ Q J 9 8 7 3♣ A 5 4
♠ A 9 6
K 10 5
A K J 4
♣ K 6 2


Not clear on the auction.  Maybe Andy passed and they bid 1D-1S-2N-4S.  The opponents bid 4♠ by North making a routine 5.  -650 was only worth 6/17.  Somehow there were 6 620s (and a 230).





Read more!

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 9

Board 9
Dlr N
Vul E-W
♠ J 9 6 2
8
7 5
♣ K J 9 8 5 2
♠ K 10 3♠ Q 4
K Q JA 7 5
K Q 6 3J 10 9 4 2
♣ A 6 4♣ Q 10 3
♠ A 8 7 5
10 9 6 4 3 2
A 8
♣ 7




Franco
North
Andy
South
3♣PassPass
DblPass3NTAll Pass





[Andy]  I wasn't sure about my auction but was happy with my choice when dummy came down.  On a heart lead, the play appeared to present a mildly interesting problem at first.  If hearts are 4-3, you would like to knock out South's presumed two aces first, and then lose a club trick to North to avoid them getting a heart trick.  However, you can't knock out the ♠A without giving the defense an opportunity to play that suit back at you.  I heard that at least one declarer played spades too early on this hand, although I don't know what the auction at that table was.  At my table it became moot very quickly -- when I knocked out the A South couldn't even try to create a pretense of 4-3 hearts.

 Made 4 for 9/17. Read more!

Sunday, June 20, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 8

Board 8
Dlr W
Vul None
♠ Q 7
10 9 8 5 4
A 10
♣ K 10 9 5
♠ A J 9 5 2♠ 10 4
K 6A Q 7 3 2
J 8 7 59
♣ 8 2♣ A Q J 7 3
♠ K 8 6 3
J
K Q 6 4 3 2
♣ 6 4



Franco
North
Andy
South
PassPass13
3♠All Pass

I think I'm supposed to make a negative double over 3.

The A was led (seems like a heart would be better).

Somehow I wound up with 9 tricks, I can't quite work it out.  Perhaps it was:

Another diamond was ruffed.  I crossed to K to play a 3rd diamond, North ruffed in with the Q and played a trump to the ten, holding.  South ruffed A, cashed a diamond and tapped me with a diamond, but I was able to hook the club and trump coup him.

If instead of tapping me with a diamond he exits a club, now I can't do everything. 

And yet, I don't think this was quite how it went down.

[Andy] I think what happened was that after ruffing with the ♠Q, North immediately gave South a heart ruff, and then South played a trump back.  Now you were able to play the Q, and the defense can't prevent you from taking 9 tricks at that point.  (Indeed, if they ruff this trick you can squeeze North for an overtrick.)

Had the defense played a spade instead of a heart as suggested above, declarer can still make, but it requires very double dummy play.  (Overtake the spade in hand, club finesse, club A, club ruff, diamond, forcing South to shorten declarer for a coup at the end.)  The winning double dummy defense is actually to not ruff in with the ♠Q.

10.5/17


Read more!

Saturday, June 19, 2010

PP 2nd Final Board 7

Board 7
Dlr S
Vul Both
♠ Q 9 7 6 3 2
6
K J 9 8
♣ 9 3
♠ A K 10 4♠ 8 5
A Q 10 9 78
10 3A 6 5 2
♣ J 6♣ K 10 8 7 5 4
♠ J
K J 5 4 3 2
Q 7 4
♣ A Q 2



Franco
North
Andy
South
1
Pass1♠2♣2
DblPass2NTPass
3NTAll Pass

2♣ was a touch sick but did not deserve this fate.  My double is not penalty, though it sounded so penalty I couldn't believe we had this agreement.  2NT was scrambling, but I thought I had enough for 3NT anyway.  Just needed clubs to come in for one loser (and an entry they can't or don't kill on the opening lead), so I'm not so sure this bid was wrong.  But there's a lot to be said for quietly passing and taking a nice plus. 
But, -200 was worth only 2.  +200 would have been 13.5.

[Andy] I feel kind of obligated to comment, since I imagine that a lot of old fashioned players will look at this board and make fun of our agreement. A world-class player was on my right, and he asked me the meaning of the double. I told him it was cards and not penalty. Afterwards, he told me that I had explained the double as penalty, he would have taken his chances with 2♠. Franco would certainly double that also, and we can manage to beat it, but it's close -- 2♠ only goes down because I have the ♠8. So defending 2 undoubled is really a better choice for the defense than 2♠X.

Also in postmortem conversation, the expert told me "It's easy to forget when you're looking at the hand, but how often do you hold THAT hand?" Essentially, that's the combined argument for the agreement. First of all, a killer penalty double isn't all the common, and even when it does come up it might alert the opponents to run to a better spot. Some of the time, partner will reopen with a double and you'll get them anyway. Meanwhile, when you hold a card showing double you really want to be able to make it.

This argument isn't really different from any argument on the modern theory of doubles, it's just being applied to what would seem to be one of the more extreme cases of it.


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